An uncertainty-aware Bayesian framework for machine learning classification models: A case study in land cover classification 文章

arXiv:2503.21510v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Ensuring that predictions of machine learning (ML) classification models are accompanied by uncertainty estimates is one of the main pillars of trustworthy AI. Current research in uncertainty quantification focuses mainly on epistemic uncertainty of the ML model, but rarely takes account of input measurement uncertainty, which is vital for traceability in metrology. In this work we propose a Bayesian framework for generative ML classification models that takes account of input measurement uncertainty. We take the specific case of a Bayesian quadratic discriminant analysis (BQDA) model, and apply it to metrological land cover datasets from Copernicus Sentinel-2 from 2020 and 2021. We benchmark the performance of the model against more popular classification models used in land cover maps such as random forests and neural networks.