The Coverage Illusion: From Pre-retrieval Routing Failure to Post-retrieval Cascades in a Production RAG System 文章

arXiv:2605.27220v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In modern RAG pipelines, query augmentation methods such as HyDE and query expansion are applied to every query, resulting in substantial LLM inference costs and increased end-to-end latency. The empirical justification for this overhead in real production traffic remains largely unexplored. We present a case study of the Danish National Encyclopedia, evaluating five retrieval workflows over 20,000 query-workflow pairs from production traffic and synthetic conditions. In this system, synthetic queries suggest that LLM augmentation is needed for over 90% of queries to achieve high retrieval coverage. However, under our production deferral policy, only 27.8% of real user queries need LLM augmentation. We call this gap the Coverage Illusion and attribute it to a structural mismatch between synthetic and real query distributions.