Beyond Sufficiency: Time Series Explanation with Counterfactual Necessity 文章

ArXiv CS.AI2026-07-24PAPERen作者: Hongnan Ma, Yiwei Shi, Mengyue Yang, Weiru Liu

详细信息

来源站点
ArXiv CS.AI
作者
Hongnan Ma, Yiwei Shi, Mengyue Yang, Weiru Liu
文章类型
PAPER
语言
en
发布日期
2026-07-24

摘要

arXiv:2607.21573v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Faithful explanations of time-series classifiers should identify subsequences that are not only sufficient to preserve a black-box model's prediction, but also necessary for maintaining it. However, existing sufficiency-oriented methods can assign high importance to spurious subsequences that support the prediction without being essential to the model's decision. We introduce \textbf{TimePNS}, a necessity-aware framework for time-series explanation. Inspired by Pearl's counterfactual notion of necessity, TimePNS assesses whether a temporal factor is necessary by intervening on it and measuring whether the original prediction is disrupted. The framework adopts a two-stage design. Stage I learns an identifiable causal generative process together with a sufficiency-oriented explanation mask.

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