摘要
arXiv:2607.27667v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reliable deployment of multimodal large language models (MLLMs) requires deciding whether a confident visual answer should be trusted, reviewed, or routed to a stronger system. Confidence scores capture candidate margins, but not where the estimated signed visual readouts associated with those margins come from or how they are distributed. We study inference-time risk detection for closed visual answers using the same white-box prefill path that produces the answer. Witness Evidence Portfolios (WEP) first estimates, layer by layer, which visual contributions support or contradict the predicted candidate. It summarizes these contributions through two interpretable route families: question-related evidence provenance and signed evidence concentration. Nested grouped validation chooses the more reliable family and a sparse top-k route portfolio, which is fused with candidate confidence.