Formalizing and falsifying causal pathways of rare events 事件

Formalizing and falsifying causal pathways of rare events arXiv:2605.31254v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Building on recent formalizations of root cause analysis for rare events (``outliers'') in structural equation models, we propose a formal definition of a causal pathway and discuss its testable implications. We identify conditions under which these implications depend only on a causal abstraction defined by the pathway of rare events, rather than on the full causal graph of the underlying