Hilbert space embeddings of conditional distributions with applications to dynamical systems 论文

2009引用 273
Gaussian Processes and Bayesian InferenceModel Reduction and Neural NetworksBayesian Modeling and Causal Inference

摘要

In this paper, we extend the Hilbert space embedding approach to handle conditional distributions. We derive a kernel estimate for the conditional embedding, and show its connection to ordinary embeddings. Condi-tional embeddings largely extend our ability to manipulate distributions in Hilbert spaces, and as an example, we derive a nonpara-metric method for modeling dynamical sys-tems where the belief state of the system is maintained as a conditional embedding. Our method is very general in terms of both the domains and the types of distributions that it can handle, and we demonstrate the ef-fectiveness of our method in various dynami-cal systems. We expect that conditional em-beddings will have wider applications beyond modeling dynamical systems. 1.